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Free, publicly-accessible full text available January 1, 2026
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The spatiotemporal mean rain rate (MR) can be characterized by the rain frequency (RF) and the conditional rain rate (CR). We computed these parameters for each season using the TMPA 3-hourly, 0.25° gridded data for the 1998–2017 period at a quasi-global scale, 50°N~50°S. For the global long-term average, MR, RF, and CR are 2.83 mm/d, 10.55%, and 25.05 mm/d, respectively. The seasonal time series of global mean RF and CR show significant decreasing and increasing trends, respectively, while MR depicts only a small but significant trend. The seasonal anomaly of RF decreased by 5.29% and CR increased 13.07 mm/d over the study period, while MR only slightly decreased by −0.029 mm/day. The spatiotemporal patterns in MR, RF, and CR suggest that although there is no prominent trend in the total precipitation amount, the frequency of rainfall events becomes smaller and the average intensity of a single event becomes stronger. Based on the co-variability of RF and CR, the paper optimally classifies the precipitation over land and ocean into four categories using K-means clustering. The terrestrial clusters are consistent with the dry and wet climatology, while categories over the ocean indicate high RF and medium CR in the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) region; low RF with low CR in oceanic dry zones; and low RF and high CR in storm track areas. Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis was then performed, and these results indicated that the major pattern of MR is characterized by an El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) signal while RF and CR variations are dominated by their trends.more » « less
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Precipitation, especially convective precipitation, is highly associated with hydrological disasters (e.g., floods and drought) that have negative impacts on agricultural productivity, society, and the environment. To mitigate these negative impacts, it is crucial to monitor the precipitation status in real time. The new Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) onboard the GOES-16 satellite provides such a precipitation product in higher spatiotemporal and spectral resolutions, especially during the daytime. This research proposes a deep neural network (DNN) method to classify rainy and non-rainy clouds based on the brightness temperature differences (BTDs) and reflectances (Ref) derived from ABI. Convective and stratiform rain clouds are also separated using similar spectral parameters expressing the characteristics of cloud properties. The precipitation events used for training and validation are obtained from the IMERG V05B data, covering the southeastern coast of the U.S. during the 2018 rainy season. The performance of the proposed method is compared with traditional machine learning methods, including support vector machines (SVMs) and random forest (RF). For rainy area detection, the DNN method outperformed the other methods, with a critical success index (CSI) of 0.71 and a probability of detection (POD) of 0.86. For convective precipitation delineation, the DNN models also show a better performance, with a CSI of 0.58 and POD of 0.72. This automatic cloud classification system could be deployed for extreme rainfall event detection, real-time forecasting, and decision-making support in rainfall-related disasters.more » « less
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